2019 NCAA TOURNAMENT - FIRST AND SECOND ROUNDS PREVIEW

2019 NCAA TOURNAMENT


FIRST AND SECOND ROUNDS

EAST REGION

Washington D.C

#1 Duke (29-5)
#16 North Dakota State (19-15)

Game changer, once in a lifetime, hybrid, generational talent; this and more describes the talent that is Zion Williamson. 6'7 285 lbs. with the leaping abilities out of this universe, versatility other than dunks, vision, court awareness, ability to change direction on the spot of a dime, finishing drives while being committed to defense an exemplifies the ultimate team leader; am I missing something else? North Dakota State earning their 2nd NCAA tournament berth since 2015. They won their first four in game over North Carolina Central (74-70) for their first tournament win in school history. The Summit League tournament champs have won (4) straight games. Duke no longer Zion-less have returned to form winning the ACC tournament championship an earning a #1 overall seed in the NCAA tournament after going (3-3) in the final 6 games of the regular season with Williamson. The Blue Devils had averaged 1.025 points per offensive possession when the projected #1 overall draft pick in this years NBA draft was not playing in comparison to 1.20 points when Zion was on the floor. DUKE


















#8 VCU (25-7)
#9 UCF(23-8)

The AAC or American Athletic Conference took 4 teams this year, as UCF makes their first appearance in the big dance since 2004-2005. Head coach Johnny Dawkins now just in his 3rd season has helped the Knights into postseason action. Led by two seniors BJ Taylor (16.0 ppg) and Tacko Fall (10.9 ppg / 7.3 rpg) alongside Aubrey Dawkins (15.2 ppg / 5.0 rpg), the son of head coach Johnny Dawkins. Dawkins won 2 NIT titles at Stanford while UCF made it to the NIT semis back in 2017. The last time Dawkins led a team to the NCAA tournament it was 2013-14, where he led then Stanford to the Sweet 16. VCU has had plenty of postseason action participating in the tournament (7) consecutive seasons spanning from 2010-2017. Their #8 seed is their highest selection since 2015. VCU fell short in the first round of the A-10 tournament, but solidified a strong resume for the committee all season long. Losing leading scorer Marcus Evans hurt them in the A-10 tournament. Finding scoring will be pivotal if Evans can't go. The Rams also have 4 players averaging double-figures including Marcus Santos-Silva (10.1 ppg / 7.4 rpg). That HAVOC defense still lives in Richmond, stifling opponents to just (61.5 ppg), however if Evans can't go, I do not think VCU will go any further. UCF



#1 Duke v #9 UCF


UCF plays good defense, sometimes even great, however, competition in the AAC in comparison to the ACC, are light-years away. If UCF beats VCU this will be their first NCAA tournament win in school history. A date with Duke is your reward. With two players (freshman) averaging over (20 ppg), Duke is a force to be reckon with. UCF will have their hands full defensively, as Duke is a team who loves to get up and down the floor in transition. The Blue Devils rank 4th in steals (9.6 spg) and 1st in blocks with (6.9 bpg). One of the better scoring offenses in the nation shooting (58%) however they struggle mightily at shooting 3-PT baskets. While the Knights of UCF defend the 3-PT shot at a high efficiency. Just too many scorers on Duke for UCF to keep up with. The Knights will have a hard time scoring and getting easy buckets. Johnny Dawkins the student versus the teacher, Coach K. Advantage teacher. DUKE

#4 Virginia Tech (24-8)

#13 Saint Louis (23-12)



The Virginia Tech Hokies will get the services of Justin Robinson back after a season long endured with injuries and suspension too a lot of head coach Buzz Williams prominent players. However a depleted roster an all, the Hokies are dancing for the 3rd consecutive season; a school record. Led by Nickeil Alexander-Walker (16.6 ppg) and Kerry Blackshear Jr. (14.7 ppg / 7.4 rpg); Va Tech has (4) players averaging at least double digits. After that their depth is a little invisible. No real promising win for Tech besides beating Duke without Zion. Saint Louis enters as a 13 seed winners of the Atlantic 10 conference championship; they earned their way in as they busted some bubble teams chances. The Billikens rolled off (4) straight wins at the Barclays to their first NCAA tournament berth since 2014. They pride themselves on getting second chance points and are one of the best teams to do so. They will need all they can versus a versatile and long Virginia Tech team. Saint Louis holds opponents to just (64 ppg) however too much firepower from the Hokies will tell the season for the Billikens. VIRGINIA TECH

#5 Mississippi State (23-10)

#12 Liberty (28-6)

Liberty in its first season in the Atlantic Sun conference wins the regular season and tournament title. Years in the Big South, Liberty and head coach Ritchie McKay has the Flames in the NCAA tournament. Just (2) conference losses the whole season led by a tenacious defense only surrendering (60.8 ppg) all season long. A balance attack on offense with all returning starters for the Flames, they are prime for the upset. Last time Mississippi State was in the NCAA tournament it was a decade ago. Head coach Ben Howland now in season (4) has the Bulldogs exicted to make a tourney run. With a well rounded offensive arsenal averaging around (77 ppg) led by senior guard Quinndary Weathers (18.2 ppg / 4.7 rpg). They also rank 13th in blocks. Defense is what Liberty specializes in, so slowing down the Bulldogs will a must but not an easy task. Closer matchup than most think but I believe Miss State holds on. MISSISSIPPI STATE



#4 Virginia Tech v #5 Mississippi State 

Virginia Tech makes 42% of their 3-PT shots, ranking in the top in all of college basketball. Buzz Williams also has incorporated a tough full court defense that has been beneficial in the improvement of the Hokies. With Robinson back in the mix, they are loaded with shooters because they need as much depth as possible. Mississippi State will counter their own flourish of scorers in a matchup that should be a second round classic. The Bulldogs are a bigger team than the Hokies and could find  ways to take advantage of some mismatches throughout the game. Shooters delight for both teams, though I do give an edge to Virginia Tech who plays a bit more defense than the Bulldogs of Miss State. Sticking with the ACC. VIRGINIA TECH










#6 Maryland (22-10)
#11 Belmont (27-5)

When the Terps are on they are on, but when the Terps are off, they are completely off. Maryland looks good on paper led by two dominant players in Anthony Cowan (16.0 ppg) and Bruno Fernando (13.7 ppg / 10.4 rpg). They both have played well in Big Ten play all season. Head coach Mark Sturgeon team is solid but young across the board. Speaking of boards, Maryland was one of the worst rebounding teams in the Big Ten. Meanwhile Belmont for a "mid-major" received an at large bid as one of the last 4 in. They took care of business beating Temple (81-70) on Tuesday winning their first tournament game in school history. Now a date with the Terps. Head coach Rick Byrd has the Bruins in their 8th NCAA tournament appearance. Belmont is 2nd in scoring in all of college basketball with (87.4 ppg). They can score quickly and often. Senior Dylan Windler has averaged (21.4 ppg / 10.7 rpg) the entire season. Windler has improved in every category this season offensively as the Bruins will be a tough matchup for any team who cannot score. Maryland has some good wins on their schedule, but some horrific losses as well including in the Big Ten tournament versus Nebraska. Maryland is also young an inexperienced. I am not sold on the false hype of the Big Ten and Maryland will be one of those teams to prove it to the nation. BELMONT

#3 LSU (26-6)
#14 Yale (22-7)


2016 the Yale Bulldogs won their 1st NCAA tournament game since Harry S. Truman was in the White House. They look poised to steal another victory in this years tourney. Another (20) win season for head coach James Jones now in his 20th season in New Haven. Ivy league regular season and tournament champs as they took down Harvard (97-85). Daunting task of LSU is next. Yale has shown they are capable of winning some games out of conference and not afraid of playing them. Beating both Cal and Miami, blowing out MAAC champion Iona as well as playing Duke tough at Cameron Indoor. Miye Oni is a 6'6 guard that led Yale in scoring with (17.6 ppg) and the capability to score at will when called upon. While the LSU Tigers have been under the microscope, well at least head coach Will Wade. Wade in the midst of a recruiting scandal has been suspended indefinitely as the player in question, Javonte Smart returns off a one game suspension due to the investigations. Wade in his 2nd season was able to help the Tigers claim the SEC regular season crown. LSU had one of the toughest strength of schedules this season. While Yale led the Ivy League in scoring this season, LSU offensive balance with four players averaging double-figures will be the difference. LSU

#3 LSU v #11 Belmont

Belmont picked up their first NCAA tournament win in school history in their play in game, a second victory versus Maryland and I believe they will be on their way to a 3rd NCAA tournament win in the same year after a date with the Tigers. LSU can score but Belmont scores at a faster and more consistent rate. The Bruins are 4th in the country in assists while shooting basically (50%) from the field. The Tigers however are one of the top teams in the NCAA in points in the paint with (38.9) per contest. A young nucleus at LSU and the scrutiny and pressure of the outside distractions may be too much for interim head coach Tom Benford and the Tigers. Make that (3) straight NCAA tournament wins for the Bruins and counting. Belmont to the Sweet 16. BELMONT








#2 Michigan State (28-6)
#15 Bradley (20-14)

Sparty probably got robbed of a #1 seed after winning the Big Ten tournament championship game over rival Michigan (65-60). That is neither here nor there as head coach Tom Izzo now in season (24) all with Michigan State has had to overcome enough obstacles and hurdles to get here. Losing junior guard Joshua Langford just 13 games into the season then Kyle Ahrens went down in the Big Ten title game. Cassius Winston (18.9 ppg) and others have had to carry the load on a Michigan State team that has shown mental toughness over anything this entire season. For Bradley they started the season (11-12) and then turned it up a notch winning 9 of 11. Bradley finished 5th in the MVC, however propelled their way to conference tournament champs. Bradley had not been to the big dance since 2006 where they had made it to the Sweet 16 that year. However in 2019, welcome and goodbye. MICHIGAN STATE

#7 Louisville (20-13)
#10 Minnesota (21-13)

To say Pitino ties are not mixed with this game, we would be doing an injustice to ourselves. Former Louisville Cardinals head coach Rick Pitino was fired in 2017 due to a recruitment scandal and now suing the former school; his son Richard Pitino, coach of the Minnesota Gophers the opponent for Louisville in the opening round of the NCAA tournament could cause off the court attention. Which would be a sore eye and negativity surrounding an expected good matchup. The Cardinals have plenty of length and versatility across the board however besides Jordan Nwora, the lack of consistent offense and defensive efficiency could hinder the Cards. Richard Pitino's Golden Gophers has his 3rd 20- win season in six years at Minnesota. Inconsistent play has plagued Minnesota all season as well. Amir Coffey has been the catalysts as wins versus Purdue (twice), Washington, and Wisconsin helped push the case for the Gophers. Jordan Murphy has 22 double-doubles on the season. Louisville has been a mixed bag since their epic debacle at the hands of Duke in the second half of the 23 point comeback. However, the Cardinals have won (5) straight opening round games. Being said, its almost a coin flip, except I think some added motivation leans toward Pitino and the Gophers. MINNESOTA

#2 Michigan State v #10 Minnesota

These two teams are oh so familiar with each other being conference foes. Sparty already took care of the Golden Gophers once this season at home, thrashing them by double-digits. I see this rematch being no different. An emotional game versus Louisville will be a lot on a day rest for Minnesota. Even with Michigan State losing Joshua Langford for the season; the likes of Winston, Nick Ward, and Matt McQuaid have all played by committee. Part of the reason Michigan State has won (5) straight and 10 of their last 11. This combination of wins coming off a disappointing part of their season where they lost (3) straight games that included losses to Indian and Illinois, the less than stellar end of the Big Ten hierarchy. After that Illinois game, they played Minnesota and the rest was history. Adaptation; something Izzo's teams continue to do two decades later. It's a reason Spartans head coach Tom Izzo has made it to (22) consecutive NCAA tournament berths. MICHIGAN STATE



SOUTH REGION

Louisville, Kentucky

#1 Virginia (29-3)

#16 Gardner-Webb (23-11)

Last year this time we witness what we thought was the impossible, as Virginia a #1 overall seed was beaten by a #16 seed in UMBC. A season later Tony Bennett has his Wahoos aimed for redemption. Falling in the ACC tourney semis, UVA knows it is now or never when it comes to making a Final 4 appearance. Virginia making their 6th straight NCAA tournament appearance while Gardner-Webb is making its first ever trip to the big dance. Senior led by David Efianayi and DJ Laster who had (32 points) in the Big South tournament championship game are looking to be UMBC part 2. Gardner-Webb averages about (78.2 ppg) while Virginia will look to slow the pace down. UVA is 1st in scoring defense holding opponents to just (55.1 ppg). Experiences learned for Virginia from a season ago. VIRGINIA

#8 Ole Miss (20-12)

#9 Oklahoma (19-13)

Ole Miss is definitely guard and wing oriented. Breein Tyree is leading their success with (18.1 ppg). Each year his statistics in all categories have gone up. Tyree is the clear leader of this team shooting (46.5% FG / 83.1% FT). The Rebels are 3rd in the country in free throw percentage. Head coach Kermit Davis in his first season has the Rebels playing with a purpose and pride as they are in the tournament for the first time in (4) seasons. Oklahoma another team that is guard and wing heavy. One thing going for the Sooners is their veteran leadership. The Sooners have been to the tournament 6 out of the last 7 seasons. Upperclassman dominant roster. One thing going bad for OU; they foul a lot and send teams to the line, Ole Miss will exploit this all night.

OLE MISS

#1 Virginia v #8 Ole Miss

Ole Miss enters this contest with not a soul knowing the feeling of the postseason. They will be tested in the second round versus Virginia. Ole Miss doesn't guard the 3-PT shot well which UVA shoos a lot of and shoots it well. Between Kyle Guy (48%), De'Andre Hunter (55%), and Ty Jerome (46%); their 3-PT shooting has improved since last season. As we know their defense is stingy which will frustrate this group of Rebels not allowing any flow on offense to develop. So far an easy road for the Cavs. VIRGINIA

#4 Kansas State (25-8)

#11 UC Irvine (30-5)

Kansas State continues to improve in the win column each of the last (3) seasons. Those three seasons has also seen the Wildcats have 3 trips to the NCAA tournament. Last seasons improbable run all the way to the Elite 8 in Atlanta, proved head coach Bruce Weber still has something left in the tank, as well as his team. This season they have been a force on defense allowing just (59.2 ppg) which ranks 3rd in the NCAA. However a stagnant offense with not many options as a scoring threat could be detrimental. A share of the Big 12 regular season before being bounced by eventual champion Iowa State; injuries have slowed down the Wildcats this season. UC Irvine hasn't been to the tourney since 2015 when they almost upset then 4th seeded Louisville. The Anteaters dominated the Big West tournament with their suffocating defense as well. They only give up (63.3 ppg) not to far from their opponent K-State. UC Irvine also rebounds the ball well. This defensive battle will come down to who can make the most stops down the stretch. UC Irvine currently is on a (16) game win streak. Give me the Anteaters. UC IRVINE

#5 Wisconsin (23-10)

#12 Oregon (23-12)

Those classic 5 vs 12 matchups always bids well for an upset. I can see it here for sure. The Oregon Ducks coming off 4 wins in 4 nights out in the desert in Las Vegas stole a selection slot from some team as they won the Pac 12 tournament championship game against Washington. The Ducks have won (8) straight overall. After losing Bol Bol (21.6 ppg / 9.6 rpg) and some bad losses on their resume, Oregon had to win their conference tournament to even get a shot. Lengthy and versatile are the Ducks who can go deep off their bench if need be. Wisconsin led by senior forward Ethan Happ (17.5 ppg / 10.5 rpg) is a walking double-double. Happ had (22) double-doubles on the season. Badgers head coach Greg Gard has been trying to find a common groove like they had in (2016-17) on their tournament run. Wisconsin, offense by committee has been offensively challenged all season. Sometimes when your hot your hot. Sticking with the hot team. OREGON

#12 Oregon v #13 UC Irvine

First battle of the double-digit seeds will be a dogfight. Oregon has looked good on both sides of the ball dominating sometimes over this (8) game winning streak especially in the Pac 12 conference tournament. UC Irvine earning their second trip ever to the NCAA tournament straight embarrassed teams en route to their Big West tournament title. A suffocating defense that I believe will get the best of Oregon especially with them not having their interior presence. The Anteaters with their ability to rebound well will find a way to control the game a limit Oregon offensively. Big West on the map. UC IRVINE

#2 Tennessee (29-5)

#15 Colgate (24-10)

Tennessee has the SEC back to back head coach in Rick Barnes, and the SEC back to back player of the year in Grant Williams. Williams averages (19.0 ppg / 7.6 reb) to lead the Volunteers. While Admiral Schofield, maybe the coolest name in college hoops is putting up (16.2 ppg / 6.1 reb). Tennessee has 5 players averaging double figures. Colgate with their first NCAA appearance since 1996. The Patriot League regular season and tournament champs have won (11) straight games. They also have size and length led by 6'10 junior Rapulas Ivanauskas (16.4 ppg / 7.5 reb). Jordan Burns also shoots the ball well, had (35) points in their league championship victory. They rank 14th in the nation in 3-PT percentage while their 24 wins was a school record. I believe Tennessee underestimates Colgate and they find a way to steal this game from the Volunteers and Rick Barnes who hasn't made it out the first weekend since 2007 when he was with Texas. Tougher task than most think however. TENNESSEE

#7 Cincinnati (28-6)

#10 Iowa (22-11)

A pair of veteran coaches go at it as Iowa's Fran McCaffery battles the Bearcats Mick Cronin in this 7 versus 10 matchup. McCaffery has the Hawkeyes in the dance after a 3 year absence. From 2013-2016 Iowa had went to 3 consecutive NCAA tournaments. He is now coaching in his 23rd season and 9th in Ames. Iowa had started the season (15-3) and looked poised to make some noise in the Big Ten, however, losers of their last 5 of 6, they finished the season (22-11). On the other side, Mick Cronin now in year 13 with Cincinnati and 16th overall help coach the Bearcats to back to back American Athletic Conference tournament championships. Cincinnati had to fight off league favorite Houston to earn the win after getting swept by Houston doing the regular season, resilience has always been show in Mick Cronin's teams. Combo guard Jarron Cumberland leads all scorers for Cincy with (18.8 ppg / 4.5 reb / 3.6 ast). CINCINNATI

#2 Tennessee v #7 Cincinnati

Tennessee has all the length and size in the world, but can they match the physicality that Cincinnati brings to the table? The Bearcats play excellent defense and are top 25 in both offensive rebounds and blocks. Both statistics bode well for second chance points and defending the ball. Tennessee shooting almost (50%) from the field while averaging (18.2) assist per game which ranks (4th) in the NCAA. The ability to be able to spread the ball around on the Bearcats defense will be crucial if the Vols want to keep playing past the weekend. However, basically a home away from home game for Cincinnati playing in Columbus, OH for this matchup. Too much physicality from both teams but ultimately a bit more talent on Tennessee that will ultimately be the difference. TENNESSEE

#3 Purdue (23-9)

#14 Old Dominion (26-8)

Carsen Edwards can go on an offensive clinic, just as fast as he can find himself in a slump. He averages (23.0 ppg) but when he is off, it effects the whole Boilermakers as a team. In games when Edwards is off, Purdue seems to struggle. As their leading scorer by a mile, he does a lot for Matt Painters team. Purdue also has shot the 3-PT shot well in conference while their defense at times can slack, when its on, its on. Top 25 in field goal percentage while they rank 12th in steals as Edwards leads them in that category. ODU the ultimate story with head coach Jeff Jones announcing in the beginning of the season he is battling prostrate cancer, find themselves (26-8) and Conference USA regular season and tournament champions. Must be a South region them, as ODU has a top 10 scoring defense that has held teams to (50 points) and under (6) times this year. While Purdue relies so heavy on one player and the 3-PT shot, ODU will take that away from them and force Purdue to find other ways to score. OLD DOMINION

#6 Villanova (25-9)

#11 Saint Mary's (22-11)

One thing we have come to grow on now is that you can't count out a Jay Wright coached Villanova team. Nova lost some big names to the NBA a season ago and all they do is just replenish. 7th straight NCAA tourney appearance after winning two NCAA titles in 4 seasons as they look for another run to the Final 4. Led by seniors Phil Booth and Eric Paschall helped propel Villanova to their 3rd consecutive Big East tournament title. Booth has been here for all the titles and championships as he seems eager for another net cutting. Saint Mary's probably would not had got into the big dance if they didn't take care of the West Coast Conference tournament championship against heavy favorite Gonzaga. The Gaels are in their second postseason appearance under head coach Randy Bennett. Saint Mary's coming off a (30) win season last year has the pleasure of Jordan Ford (21.3 ppg) and Malik Fitts (15.3 ppg) both returning for the Gaels. Saint Mary's is known for playing good defense but they must guard behind the arc or Villanova will expose them early. West coast team traveling to Hartford, CT will be tough for the Gaels. VILLANOVA

#6 Villanova v #14 Old Dominion



The battle of the guard play. Both of these teams can match up well versus each other. ODU seniors BJ Stith and Ahmad Caver against Phil Booth and Eric Paschall will be one to watch. The Monarchs has be the likes of VCU and traveling to the Carrier Dome and beating Syracuse. ODU is not afraid of the challenge. Ultimately too much experience coming from that Nova side, from the court to the sidelines, a more experienced bunch Jay Wright has will be the telling all in this matchup. VILLANOVA

MIDWEST REGION

Kansas City, Missouri

#1 North Carolina (27-6)

#16 Iona (17-15)

Head coach Roy Williams of the North Carolina Tar Heels has only missed the NCAA tournament once in his 16 years in Chapel Hill. The Tar Heels fell just short in the ACC conference tournament as the co-regular season champs look to get back to the Final 4 for their 3rd time in four seasons. His diverse team this season can win in a variety of ways which is scary. Seniors Cam Johnson (16.9 ppg) and Luke Maye (14.7 ppg / 10.5 rpg) lead the way. While fellow freshman Coby White (16.3 ppg / 4,2 apg) and Nassir Little contribute just as much. Their balance on both sides of the ball make it a challenge for teams to score and defend UNC for an entire 40 minutes. At one part of the season Iona had loss (7) consecutive games by an average of (14.5 ppg), however they have closed the season winners of (10) straight and MAAC regular season and tournament champs. Upperclassman the Gaels are led by mostly juniors and seniors. This will be Iona's fourth straight trip to the tournament. Lack of discipline defensively will be costly against a team like Carolina which ranks 2nd in shot attempts. Roy Williams (28-0) all time in the first round. NORTH CAROLINA

#8 Utah State (28-6)
#9 Washington (26-8)


The Huskies fell just short of claiming Pac 12 regular season and tournament champs as they were drummed by Oregon in the title game. Wake up call for the Huskies who led all teams in the Pac 12 by a 3 game margin for 1st place during the regular season. Washington played a tough outer conference schedule but lost to all of them (Auburn, Minnesota, Virginia Tech, and Gonzaga). Washington's zone defense secured a defensive player of the year award in the Pac 12 for senior guard Matisse Thybulle. As the Huskies rank 6th in steals in the country, they will need to be defensively stout against the Aggies. Utah State is ranked 25th nationally and are a legit opponent in the tournament. They average almost (80 ppg) while sharing the Mountain West regular season claim with fellow tournament bid Nevada, they stormed through the MW tournament en route to tournament champs. The Aggies split their games with Nevada this season. They also score 62% of their points off assist. Sharing is caring. Utah State has winning streaks of 5, 7, and currently 10. Make it 11. UTAH STATE

#1 North Carolina v #8 Utah State

The Tar Heels bet not sleep on the Aggies of Utah State. Head coach Craig Smith in his first season has changed the culture and mindset on campus at Utah State. Just like North Carolina a high offensive and defensive efficiency rates for the Aggies. Sam Merrill leads Utah State with (21.2 ppg). They score easily and play even harder on defense. Both teams are top (5) in the nation in rebounding, this will be pivotal for second chance points for either team as both teams like to score. Utah State has nothing to lose so I expect a team to come out and play lose and have UNC on their heels no pun intended early. Once all the dust settles, North Carolina will show us why they are North Carolina and pull away down the stretch. NORTH CAROLINA






#5 Auburn (26-9)
#12 New Mexico State (30-4)


Auburn leads the country in 3 pointers made, large part of the Tigers averaging (79.6 ppg) this season. The Tigers won the SEC tournament championship cruising to a victory over head coach Bruce Pearl's former school, Tennessee. Pearl in his fifth season has Auburn in back to back NCAA tournament appearances for the first time since (1999-2000). That is also the last time Auburn reeled off consecutive 20 win seasons. New Mexico State has gone (38-6) in conference play including (3) straight trips to the NCAA tournament and this season winning 30 games for the first time in school history. Their offensive efficiency ranks top 15 in all of the NCAA. Three straight WAC championships on the premise of a well balanced veteran and seasoned team. Auburn also averages (22) points off turnovers, that is the most of all Power 5 conference teams. However they have been wildly inconsistent and questionable the entire season. Smell that 5 vs 12 upset? I do. NEW MEXICO STATE


#4 Kansas (25-9)
#13 Northeastern (23-10)

Northeastern with back to back (20) win seasons for the first time since the mid 1980s won the CAA tournament an are dancing for the first time in (4) seasons. A team very guard and upperclassman heavy, though lacking size, has the heart to compete with any team. Northeastern has won (7 )straight and 16 of their last 18 games has resulted in a win. Serbian forward Vasa Pusica leads all scorers for the Huskies with (17.8 ppg), he also leads them in assist (4.2 apg) while shooting (49% - FG / 40% - 3PT). This has not been your typical Bill Self Kansas Jayhawks team. This became the first season since (2004-05) that Kansas did not win the Big 12 regular season title or at least a share of it as they finished 3rd in the standing this season. Injuries plagued Kansas saw some of their top scorers go down early and often. With wins against Gonzaga, Tennessee and Villanova early in the season, KU seemed to be a lock for another Final 4 but injuries and bad play on the court resulted in bad losses at Texas, at K-State, and at OU. The Jayhawks have been a liability on the defensive end as well, I think they will escape Thursday/Friday, however; Saturday/Sunday could be an early exit for rock chalk, for now. KANSAS

#4 Kansas v #12 New Mexico State

Kansas used to be a definite lock for the Sweet 16, however I do not know about this season. Each of the last three the Jayhawks have at least made it to the following weekend including a Final 4 appearance a season ago. A road block like New Mexico State literally is in their way. New Mexico State has won (19) straight games, the second longest streak in college basketball dating back to January 3rd. As stated before, the Aggies compiled (30) wins this year to just (4) losses. One of those losses came to the hand of Kansas (63-60) in a true road game Allen Fieldhouse. Back in December a last second shot for the Aggies just came up short, as New Mexico State gave Kansas all they could handle in front of a national audience when Kansas was full strength. Dedric Lawson has been a huge bright spot for Bill Self and the Jayhawks. Averaging (19.1 ppg / 10.3 rpg) while shooting 48% from the field has started every game for Kansas. Lawson was at his average last time these two teams met, however the lack of bodies Kansas can throw at the Aggies it may be a long night for the Jayhawks who allowed them to shoot 45% and get outrebounded earlier in the season. If New Mexico State limits the turnovers, on a neutral site, the 12 seed will stay alive for another week. NEW MEXICO STATE








#3 Houston (31-3)
#14 Georgia State (24-9)

Head coach Ron Hunter and the 14 seeded Georgia State Panthers continue to reign basketball king in the state of Georgia. Back to back Sun Belt conference titles as the Panthers come into the tournament no stranger, now their 3rd appearance in (5) seasons. Dominating the Sun Belt conference again, Georgia State led their league in blocks and steals per game. Houston head coach Kelvin Sampson has won everywhere he has coached. Oklahoma, Indiana, and now in Houston. Five seasons into his tenure with the Cougars, they are a win away from tying a school record for wins in a season and are tournament bound for consecutive seasons. Couple of seniors in leading scorer Corey Davis Jr. and Galen Robinson Jr. have kept Houston in the top 10 of the AP polls all season long. For a guard dominant team they rebound the ball better than most teams. They also play great team defense holding opponents to just (61.0 ppg) which ranks 8th in college hoops. Georgia State knows the recipe to stealing a game, like they did in 2015. However against this Houston team, GSU would truly be a Cinderella this season. Houston has just one tourney win since 1984, make it two. HOUSTON

#6 Iowa State (23-11)
#11 Ohio State (19-14)

The 2019 Big 12 tournament champions are.... the Iowa State Cyclones. Y'all thought I was going to say Kansas? Iowa State made a run through the conference tournament en route to an automatic bid. A balance group on offense led by transfer Marial Shayock (18.6 ppg); Iowa State is trying to regain their identity back and hopefully it happened during the Big 12 tournament. Shayock won Big 12 tourney MVP honors as the Cyclones own version of the big 3 (Shayock, Lindell Wigginton, and Talen Horton-Tucker) has been pillars in the success for Iowa State. Ohio State started (12-1) to begin the season, that is what also saved their season. An abysmal stretch down the latter part of the season going (7-13) the rest of the way. Ugly losses at Rutgers and versus Illinois doesn't make the Buckeyes any major threat this season. A better defensive team then shown throughout the season, if Ohio State can force some turnovers and can stay in the game, they may have a chance for an upset. Iowa State hasn't won a tournament game since their Sweet 16 run in 2015. Think they take care of business early. IOWA STATE

#3 Houston v #6 Iowa State

Another intruiging opening weekend matchup. Big 12 tourney champs Iowa State knows they belong here. The Cyclones led the Big 12 in (FG%) while scoring (77.4 ppg). They have depth which is needed when it comes to tourney time, however outside of Marial Shayock, their is no senior leadership or presence on a high offensive efficiency team. Houston is looking for some revenge from a season ago after losing in the second round to eventual runner-up Michigan. The Cougars bring back majority of their team including Armoni Brooks and Corey Davis who both lead the team in scoring. Iowa State has beaten Ole Miss, Kansas State 3x, Texas Tech, and Kansas twice during the course of the season alone. So the Cyclones are far from scared of teams that may seem better than them. However, this Houston team is strong and stout defensively. They rebound well and are more disciplined then most teams under head coach Kelvin Sampson. HOUSTON






#7  Wofford (29-4)
#10 Seton Hall (20-13)

The Wofford Terriers have been ranked nationally the majority of the season, currently 19th. They enter the NCAA tournament for the first time since 2015, winners of the Southern conference regular season and tournament champions. The Terriers won a school record (29) games and currently own the nations longest win streak, at 20 games. Head coach Mike Young the programs most successful coach has Wofford playing a high octane offense with shooters that can stroke the ball. Led by senior Fletcher Magee (20.5 ppg), the Terriers have 4 players averaging over (40% - 3PT). Wofford is 4th in threes made and 2nd in (41.6% - 3PT). Myles Powell leads (22.9 ppg) a Setonn Hall team which has been all over the place. The Pirates are in the big dance for the 4th straight season but endured the ups and downs this year. Beating Marquette twice, Villanova, Maryland, and even Kentucky early in the season but being swept by DePaul and losing to Nebraska isn't what you want on your resume. Wofford being such an offensive power, Seton Hall will need all they can to hang with the Terriers. Think it will be close but too much arsenal for the Southern conference winners. WOFFORD

#2 Kentucky (27-6)
#15 Abilene Christian (27-6)


The Kentucky Wildcats once again drew a tough seeding in this years NCAA tournament. In a bracket loaded with UNC, Houston, and Kansas; head coach Jon Calipari has his hands full. As he has all season with his young core of Wildcats. PJ Washington, Tyler Herro, Keldon Johnson, and Reid Travis all average double figures for a team that can go (7-8) deep. Over the course of the season their defense has got better allowing just (65.4 ppg) and ranking (9th) in blocks. Abilene Christian has only been a Division 1 team for 6 seasons, so this dancing thing is new to these Wildcats. A (27) win season, Southland conference champs and one tough defense and you have the Wildcats of Abilene Christian. A defense that only allows (63.1 ppg). While their offense is led by committee, a group of upperclassman who are unselfish on the floor. Joe Golding is wearing those lucky pants he ripped in the Southland conference tournament championship game. Golding in the lasting minutes as his team earned a NCAA berth, overzealous with joy ripped his pants and is hoping these lucky pants can spur some sort of an upset over big bad Kentucky. Wishful thinking. KENTUCKY

#2 Kentucky v #7 Wofford

Wofford will take all challengers. This season they scheduled and played, UNC, Kansa, Oklahoma, and Mississippi State. ACC, BIG 12, and SEC they scheduled and playing those power 5 teams have made them better throughout the season. Fletcher Magee has made 502 - 3PT shots during his career at Wofford as the Terriers shoot and make the 3-PT shot better than most power 5 schools. Kentucky cannot sleep on Wofford. Wofford can score at will and at times plays great defense. Kentucky defense is what separates them. The Wildcats ability to send multiple bodies at you the entire game I believe will slow the Terriers down in the long run. Wofford will play them tough until the end. KENTUCKY

WEST REGION

Anaheim, California

#1 Gonzaga (30-3)

#16 Fairleigh Dickinson (21-13)

Gonzaga head coach Mark Few has the Zags in their 20th consecutive NCAA tournament appearance. Gonzaga has won (30) games or more for the 4th straight season. Coming up short in the West Coast conference tournament championship game to conference rival Saint Mary's; Few knows he has another team that is capable of a deep run. Two years removed from their first national title game leading scorers Rui Hachimura (20.1 ppg / 6.6 rpg) and Brandon Clarke (16.5 ppg / 8.4 rpg) knows their time is running out to get the Bulldogs to the promise land. A veteran group full of offensive explosion. Scoring (88.8 ppg) which ranks 1st in Division 1 basketball. The Zags shoot (53% - FG) while averaging (18) assist per game, both once again tops in the nation. Fairleigh Dickinson won their first ever tournament game on Tuesday. This is the 2nd time in (4) seasons that the Knights earned a tournament berth as well as being one of the final four in teams. Now a date with #1 Gonzaga. Fairleigh led by senior Darnell Edge (16.9 ppg) dropped (33) points in their play in game versus Praire View. The NEC tournament champs shoot well fro beyond the arc, around (40% - 3PT). Gonzaga does not defend the three well at all. Just about the only advantage for the Knights as Gonzaga will look to cruise into the weekend. GONZAGA

#8 Syracuse (20-13)

#9 Baylor (19-13)

Syracuse has announced they have suspended Frank Howard indefinitely. No timetable on the star return. Howard played well in the ACC tournament despite missing Tyus Battle. Now Battle has returned and Howard is out. Howard was the center of drama that looked like he tried to intentionally trip Duke's Zion Williamson. The Syracuse athletic department has suspended Howard and head coach Jim Boeheim has not had much to comment on. Regardless, Tyus Battle is back. Battle (17.2 ppg) leads the Cuse who have a solid rotation of players that can give solid minutes for Boehim. Baylor has been decimated by injuries all season. I do not know how Scott Drew was able to put this team together for (32) games but somehow they managed to find themselves in the NCAA tournament for the 5th time in 6 seasons. Wins against Texas Tech and Iowa State but creeping into the tournament on a (4) game losing streak is just what a short handed Syracuse team needs. SYRACUSE

#1 Gonzaga v #8 Syracuse

The lack of uncertainty and depth for Syracuse my backfire early for the Orange. Before the Howard suspension and the return to Tyus Battle and that infamous Jim Boehim 2-3 zone defense, I really thought the Orange would have a chance versus the Zags. However Syracuse will need all the bodies they can have to keep up with Gonzaga. The Zags score at a rapid rate and between Hachimura and Clarke it could be a long day for the Cuse trying to slow down Gonzaga. Gonzaga only loss (3) games the entire season and two of them were blowouts. It is hard to blowout a team averaging almost (90) points per contest while connecting on over (50%) of their shots. Syracuse usually primed for a deep run, not this year though. GONZAGA

#4 Florida State (27-7)

#13 Vermont (27-6)

For the 3rd consecutive season, head coach Leonard Hamilton has his Florida State Seminoles dancing. Last season coming off an Elite 8 appearance, FSU has used size, length, versatility, and athleticism in grooming a strong core that beat Virginia in the ACC tournament before coming up short to Duke in the ACC championship game. The Noles go about seven deep with big man like Christ Koumadje (6.6 ppg / 5.6 rpg / 1.5 bpg) and ACC 6th man of the year Mfiondu Kabengele (12.9 ppg / 49% FG). Kabengele leads the team in scoring coming off the bench. Shows you their depth. Vermont with back to back (27) win seasons. A year ago the Catamounts just missed the NCAA tournament and was on the outside looking in. This season, sorts of redemption for Vermont. 6'6 forward Anthony Lamb leads all scorers with (21.4 ppg / 7.8 rpg). Vermont depth is limited which raises concerns for a deep tournament run. They play tough defense only giving up (62.6 ppg) on the season. They dominated the American East with this defense, however this task will be tough against the size of the Noles. FLORIDA STATE

#5 Marquette (24-9)

#12 Murray State (27-4)

This will be the most anticipated game of the first round. Shooters paradise, we will be in for an old fashion black top street basketball game between Marquette and Murray State. Murray State winners of the OVC and back to back tournament appearances averaging (83.3 ppg) largely due in part to sensational guard Ja Morant. Morant averaging (24.6 ppg /10 apg / 5.5 rpg). He is also shooting (50% FG) from the field. The Racers have won (11) straight games. Morant seems to be locked for a lottery pick in the upcoming NBA draft. Marquette has their own star Markus Howard. Howard the Big East player of the year averaged (25.0 ppg). Howard has had three 45 point games this season. A walking bucket around campus. Howard is battling a minor wrist injury from the Big East tournament but remains its no issue. The Hauser brothers, Sam and Joey are next in scoring for the Golden Eagles but from their not much cooking depth wise for head coach Steve Wojciechowski. Marquette has not won a NCAA tournament game since 2013. That trend continues. MURRAY STATE



#4 Florida State v #12 Murray State



Ja Morant and the Racers will have their hands full with FSU. Florida State with its length and size I believe will be able to dictate and control the game from jump. The Noles are a different monster than what Murray State is used to seeing in the OVC weekly. Morant has posted a (20 and 10) game at least (14) times during the season this year. I am sure he will be able to reach this feat but how will his team fare around him? Florida State will find a way to keep Morant out the paint. Their lack of depth will hinder Murray State as well. FSU bench averages (32.7 ppg) off the bench. Which includes ACC 6th man of the year and Florida State leading scorer Mfiondu Kabengele. Advantage ACC. FLORIDA STATE

#6 Buffalo (31-3)

#11 Arizona State (23-10)

Last 4 in to First 4 in, Arizona State willed their way to victory over St. Johns Wednesday night (74-65). The battle of former players turned coaches; Arizona State (Bobby Hurley) and St. Johns (Chris Mullens) teams reflected the play of the former players. This is the second straight season Hurley and Arizona State made the tournament. They lost their first four in game last year, but not in 2019. The Sun Devils play hard and physical and find ways to get to the free throw line. Canadian freshman Luguentz Dort leads the Sun Devils in scoring (16.1 ppg). Dort won Pac 12 freshman of the year honors. Head coach Nate Oats now in his 4th season has the Bulls in the big dance for their 3rd time in 4 years. Last season they upset Arizona who was then a 4 seed. This year the Bulls come in as the favorite with a 6 seed. Buffalo who won the MAC regular season and tournament title averaging (84.9 ppg) which ranks 5th in college basketball. Senior heavy led by CJ Massinburg and his (18.3 ppg / 6.6 rpg). Buffalo shoots a lot; 1st in field goal attempts, 7th in 3-PT attempts. Too much offense for Arizona State to slow down. BUFFALO

#3 Texas Tech (26-6)

#14 Northern Kentucky (26-8)

Horizon league champions Northern Kentucky Norse enter the NCAA tournament (26-8) winners of (5) straight. Senior Drew McDonald (19.1 ppg / 9,5 rpg) leads the Norse in scoring and rebounding on a team that is very balance and versatile. Just transitioning to D1 hoops just a few years back, Northern Kentucky knows how to score as they average (79.1 ppg) while shooting (56%) from the field. They have (4) players scoring at least (11) points a game. Texas Tech under head coach Chris Beard has improved every season. This year the Red Raiders shared the Big 12 regular season title before blundering versus WVU in the Big 12 tournament. Texas Tech has become one of the best defensive teams in the country. Their defense is tenacious and harassing all game long. Jarrett Culver (18.5 ppg / 6.3 rpg) is carrying his team this season on offense. His play alongside the Red Raiders intense defense activity will help Texas Tech if they have a tourney run in them. TEXAS TECH

#3 Texas Tech v #6 Buffalo

Buffalo has played well against power 5 teams this season an all year has been a force to be reckon with. Especially on the offensive side of the ball. Buffalo won a MAC league record (31) games. Their offense efficiency has ranked in the top 10 all season. The pass and rebound the ball better then most teams. The Bulls high octane offense will meet the best defense efficiency team in the country. Opposites attract as everything that Buffalo is good at, Texas Tech does well defensively at shutting teams down. Buffalo is no longer an underdog on the radar and a target has been on their back over the last two seasons. The Red Raiders able to shut down CJ Massinburg as well as taking away driving lanes and easy opportunities for the Bulls, Texas Tech could be on their was to another Elite 8 run. TEXAS TECH

#2 Michigan (28-6)

#15 Montana (26-8)

Montana wins the Big Sky conference tournament for the 2nd consecutive season. Back to back (20) win seasons, and a (32-6) record in conference has the Grizzlies primed to make a tournament upset. Montana shoots the ball extremely well, ranking in the top 10 in field goal percentage. Jamar Akoh (15.4 ppg / 8.5 rpg / 58% FG) only played (15) games due to injury this season, however the Grizzlies have two other players averaging (15) points or more per game. Sayeed Pridgett (15.1 ppg / 60% FG) and Ahmaad Rorie (15.0 ppg / 47% FG). Head coach John Beilien now in his 13th season in Ann Arbor has been to the tournament every season except two. A season of ups and downs and injuries combined now have the Wolverines prime for a Final 4 return. Losing some starters from last season they bring back Jordan Poole and Charles Matthews eying that national championship which they have been so close to obtaining. Depth or their lack of could cause a stumble for the maze and blue, however for now. MICHIGAN

#7 Nevada (29-4)

#10 Florida (19-15)

Nevada is big, Nevada is long, Nevada has experience and Nevada should not be taking lightly. After falling to Loyola in the Sweet 16 last season a senior led team is poised for another postseason run. Three seniors including Caleb Martin (19.2 ppg / 5.1 rpg) and Jordan Caroline (17.3 ppg / 9.6 rpg) as well as Cody Martin the twin brother of Caleb are the catalyst of a team scoring (80.7 ppg). The Wolfpack has a flourish of transfer players that have all stepped up. Nevada can go (8-10) deep per game which can put a toll on some teams. Twice this season Nevada has had two (12) game winning streaks. As for Florida, besides two good wins versus LSU, their resume isn't eye popping. They finished (.500) (9-9) in the SEC but with bad losses to Georgia, TCU and Butler it will be a challenge for the Gators versus Nevada. Florida has earned their 3rd consecutive NCAA tournament berth as this season defense was their specialty. The Gators must take that intensity to Nevada all 40 minutes if they look forward for an upset. NEVADA

#2 Michigan v #7 Nevada

Michigan freshman Lithuanian Ignas Brazdeikis leads all Wolverines in scoring. His presence on the floor is pivotal for the success for Michigan. He alongside Jordan Pool and Charles Matthews will look to control the pace, as Nevada will look to shoot the lights out the gym. The Wolverines started the season (19-0) before getting deep into conference play. The thing with Michigan is you just don't trust them. Even as good as Nevada can be, the combination of all their transfer players bring a different dynamic to the game. Experience on both sides of the ball will keep this game close the entire time. So then it comes down to coaching and bench contribution. Coaching; Michigan's John Beilein (3) Final 4 appearances in (8) seasons while the bench favors Nevada with their depth. I think Nevada has a bit more ambition coming into this years tournament and will ultimately find a way to win. NEVADA


SWEET 16 PREDICTIONS AND PREVIEW:


EAST


#1 DUKE v #4 VIRGINIA TECH
#2 MICHIGAN STATE v #11 BELMONT


SOUTH


#1 VIRGINIA v #13 UC IRVINE
#2 TENNESSEE v #6 VILLANOVA


MIDWEST


#1 NORTH CAROLINA v #12 NEW MEXICO STATE
#2 KENTUCKY v #3 HOUSTON


WEST


#1 GONZAGA v #4 FLORIDA STATE
#3 TEXAS TECH v #7 NEVADA